Here is what’s on the economic calendar in Asia today – Japan Q4 GDP

2100
GMT — New Zealand — ANZ Truckometer for February, an indicator
derived using traffic volume data and used as a proxy to economic
growth

  • ‘Heavy’ traffic index, prior +4.1%
  • ‘Light’ traffic index prior -0.5%

2145
GMT — New Zealand — manufacturing activity for Q4

2350 — Japan — BoP Current Account for January

BoP
Current Account Balance

  • expected
    ¥ 437.4B, prior ¥ 797.2B

BoP
Current Account Adjusted

  • expected
    ¥ 1761.9B, prior ¥ 1479.6B

2350
— Japan — international securities flows for the week

2350
GMT — Japan and the focus for today, the final reading for Q4 2017
GDP

The
preliminary reading for Q4 GDP was +0.1% q/q, which was a little
lower than what was expected (median consensus was +0.2%) but a slide
from a strong result in Q3, which was +0.6%.

GDP
(seasonally adjusted) for Q4, final, q/q:

  • expected
    is 0.2%, preliminary was 0.1%, prior 0.6%

GDP
Annualized (seasonally adjusted) for Q4, final y/y:

  • expected
    is 1.0%, preliminary was 0.5%, prior 2.2%

GDP
Nominal (seasonally adjusted) for Q4, final q/q:

  • expected
    is 0.1%, preliminary 0.0%, prior 0.6%

GDP
Deflator y/y for Q4, final:

  • expected is 0.0%, preliminary 0.0%, prior 0.0%
  • This is an inflation indicator … wow … just not happening, is it?

GDP
Consumer Spending (aka private Consumption) y/y for Q4,

  • expected
    is 0.5%, preliminary 0.5%, prior -0.6%

GDP
Business Spending y/y for Q4,

  • expected
    is 1.3%, preliminary 0.7%, prior 1.0%

I’ll
be back with more on this separately

2350
GMT — Japan bank lending for February

0001
GMT — UK data — RICS house price balance for February

0030
GMT — Australia — Trade Balance for January

Exports
were a subtraction from Q4 GDP (data was out yesterday) so lets see
how they beign to shape up in Q1 of 2017 with the January figures
today.

  • Expected
    surplus of AUD 160m, prior was a deficit of AUD 1358m

I’ll
have more to come on this separately

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