From the October 6, 2017 low, EUR/USD is advancing in impulsive waves while falling in corrective waves. For the time being, this places the near term trend pointed towards higher levels.
In our previous report, we identified EUR/USD appears to be in a fourth wave or having just completed a fourth wave. The price action since October 6 continues to support the analysis as we forecast higher levels for EUR/USD.
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EUR/USD Forecast — Still in Triangle
Though we cannot say for sure which of the patterns we are in, I am leaning towards a continuation of a fourth wave triangle. The triangle pattern implies EUR/USD remains supported above 1.1662 and moves into the 1.19 handle, possibly as high as 1.20.
If the fourth wave was a flat pattern and if the flat has previously ended then it implies we are travelling higher in the fifth and final wave. Under this scenario, EUR/USD likely breaks above 1.20 and may move as high as 1.22.
The sentiment picture continues to support bullish patterns. The current sentiment reading is -1.4 which is a bullish signal. View the live sentiment reading to keep on top of any changes that may occur.
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This is a shorter term forecast for EUR and USD. For a longer term quarterly view, grab these quarterly forecasts.