Euro to Reverse and Trend Lower

EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 40.6% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.46 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 14.3% higher than yesterday and 1.9% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.7% higher than yesterday and 7.2% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current EURUSD price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

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